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Software/IT services sector: Further recovery, less euphoria
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Software/IT services sector: Further recovery, less euphoria
8 July 2026
European Technology/Software
On Tuesday after market close, we attended the semi-annual meeting of France’s trade Derric Marcon
+33 1 58 98 06 30 association of software and IT service companies (Numeum). The organisation presented
derric.marcon@bernsteinsg.com the results of a survey conducted among its members in April/May covering 413 companies
and CIOs, 43% of which were IT service providers, 29% software vendors and 28% CIOs.
Richard Nguyen As usual, it engaged an industry research firm—in this case Xerfi—to conduct the survey and
+33 1 42 13 54 22
richard.nguyen@bernsteinsg.com forecast growth through 2026 for the various market segments it tracks.
Specialist Sales Still recovering but less so than initially anticipated. First, we note that this survey was
conducted when the Middle East conflict was very much in the foreground and GDP growth
Kiran Shah, CFA forecasts for France had already begun to be revised down (10bp drop between late March
+44 20 3547 1533
kiran.shah@bernsteinsg.com and late April). The survey also reflects the very low morale among small firms, spanning
both software vendors and IT service providers. For small IT service firms, challenges
include the trend among clients to consolidate and narrow down their lists of preferred
suppliers, the shift toward nearshore and offshore delivery models, and the need to invest
in new technologies. For small software vendors, difficulties centre on the capacity to invest
and the need to avoid being hit by rising operating costs associated with AI-powered tools.
For these reasons (economic climate and the weight of small businesses' responses to
the survey), we are not overly concerned by the slightest hint of optimism emerging from
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