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China Sportswear Observations: Adidas Outperforming
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China Sportswear Observations: Adidas Outperforming
China (PRC) | Apparel, Footwear &
Textiles EquityJulyResearch2, 2026
China Sportswear Observations: Adidas
Outperforming
We conducted checks focusing on brands including Anta, Fila, Li Ning,
Uniqlo China and Adidas China. Overall demand in June was muted. Adidas
China retail sales grew significantly, likely taking market share from Nike.
We remain positive on Li Ning, forecasting better cost and OPEX control in
1H26 as well as long term benefits from the Curry deal. We expect a more
meaningful deceleration by the Anta brand in 2Q26 (vs. 1Q26).
*Overall demand remains muted: The summer retail continues to face pressure in June 2026
mainly due to weak traffic. The silver lining is better-than-feared markdowns: thanks to Nike's
declining supply. Among the major brands we track, We expect a more meaningful deceleration
by the Anta brand in 2Q26 (vs. 1Q26).
*Li Ning: Market concerns are likely overdone: We saw significant consensus earnings cuts
after the Curry deal, which led to share price corrections. However, we remain positive in Li
Ning's long-term outlook:
(1) Better OPEX and cost management: Li Ning's improved management quality is crucial to
its turnaround, in our view. We believe the company executed OPEX and cost management
well in 1H26.
(2) Curry is a long-term growth opportunity: While we do expect initial expenses to start by
2H26, we expect the total expenses to be smaller than market's expectations. We expect the
sponsorship to take a combination of cash, Li Ning's shares and bonus targets based on the
sales of the Curry brands (vs. market expectations of fixed cash payments). We expect the
Curry brand to start its ramp up in 2H26. We expect the brand to launch apparel, and then
footwear.
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