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Swiss Life 1H26 Preview: minor estimate changes; expecting mid-single-digit profit growth
研报英文原文证据摘录
Swiss Life 1H26 Preview: minor estimate changes; expecting mid-single-digit profit growth
J P M O R G A N Europe Equity Research
02 July 2026
Swiss Life Underweight
SLHN.S, SLHN SW
1H26 Preview: minor estimate changes; expecting mid- Price (01 Jul 26):CHF888.20
single-digit profit growth Price Target (Dec-27):CHF745.00
We update our forecasts for Swiss Life ahead of its 1H26 reporting on 1st European Insurance
ACSeptember, with small changes to net profit. Our changes reflect market and macro Farooq Hanif
movements since we last published – higher equity markets, FX moves and interest (44 207) 742-8091
rate changes – alongside the potential for some pressure on non-life results in light farooq.hanif@jpmorgan.com
of a French premium tax. We also factor in a slightly higher tax rate, to better reflect Bingdi Fan, CFA
an additional French corporate tax in 2026 and to be more in line with historical (44-20) 7742-5336
trends. Overall, we reduce our net profit estimates by ~0.5% over 2026-27E and bingdi.fan@jpmorgan.com
by ~0.1% in 2028E, with adjusted EPS lower by a similar magnitude (Figure 1Changestokeyestimates). Kamran M Hossain
(44-20) 3493-3780
We cut our 2026 SST ratio estimate to ~208% (from ~219%), mainly reflecting a kamran.hossain@jpmorgan.com
reduction in Swiss long-term bond yields since we last published. Nadia Claressa
(44-20) 7134-7613
We reiterate our Underweight rating and CHF745 price target. Our cautious stance nadia.claressa@jpmorgan.com
J.P. Morgan Securities plc
rests on Swiss Life's elevated relative valuation – trading on a 2027E P/E of ~17.5x
vs the sector average of ~11.5x. Specialist Sales contact details:
Gigi Sparling - Specialist Sales -
We set out our key forecasts for 1H26 below (Figure 21H26Forecasts): European Financials
(44-20) 7134-0355
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