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CoTD: Revision Hunting
研报英文原文证据摘录
CoTD: Revision Hunting
Idea
July 1, 2026 11:24 AM GMT
Morgan Stanley & Co. LLCMMulti-Industry | North America Christopher Snyder, CFA
Equity Analyst
CoTD: Revision Hunting Chris.Snyder@morganstanley.comBrandon Knutson +1 212 761-4470
Brandon.Knutson@morganstanley.com +1 212 761-4168
Chart of the Day (CoTD) highlights charts that tie into latest Toby Okwara
investor conversations, are timely for the macro + company EquityToby.Okwara@morganstanley.comAnalyst +1 212 761-1693
events, or just ones that we find interesting. Christine Yao
Research Associate
Exhibit 1: Screening for Conservative / Aggressive Guides: With Q2 positioned Christine.Yao@morganstanley.com +1 212 761-4193
for broad beats and 2H revisions the KPI this EPS season, we think the best Multi-Industry
screen is to compare the forecasted Q3'26 vs Q1'26 revenue ramp vs typical North America
Industry View Attractive
seasonality - a positive number means the business is modeled for a seasonal
beat (high bar) while a negative number means the business is modeled for a
seasonal miss (low bar)
Source: Morgan Stanley, Visible Alpha
Yesterday's CotD (link) highlighted that short-cycle leading indicators remain firm
through Q2, positioning our US multi-industry coverage for broad based beats
against conservative guides - but the bar gets tougher into 2H and with US
Industrials trading at a historic valuation premium, forward revisions are needed to
drive further equity upside (Exhibit 3-4). While we believe the premium is
warranted on the back of our long-standing $10T US Reshoring thesis which we
believe will result in stronger + more durable through-cycle growth for US
Morgan Stanley does and seeks to do business withIndustrials (link), the equities need to now prove it to the market w/ positive
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