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CLO Special Topics: June Performance Update: Continued software weakness and trading returns
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CLO Special Topics: June Performance Update: Continued software weakness and trading returns
ains from trading
overall, and we detail outperforming managers in recent trading. Across sectors, recent
software purchases have been negative for portfolio market value whereas packaging
purchases have outperformed. CLO software holdings were unchanged in June reports,
although there is significant dispersion across managers, with both 2%+ net increases
and decreases in manager software shares over the past three months. Managers that
decreased software exposure significantly in recent months have tended to rotate into the
media sector, particularly Warner Brothers’ $13bn refinancing TL.
Software loan returns: underperformance in June with continued dispersion across
subsectors
Software loan returns were mostly in line with overall averages in April and May, but have
underperformed month-to-date. With a -1.8% market value return for the software sector
in June, YTD market value returns now total -9.6%, a new low.
As discussed in our priorreport, perceived risks of AI disruption vary significantly across
software subsectors, and this has partly driven returns at the subsector level in recent
months:
• Subsectors that saw broad-based weakness in Q1 such as data
management/analytics and IT management have continued to underperform since
then, with YTD total returns 8-13 points below the average across all software & IT
services loans. The database software subsector slightly outperformed in Q1, but has
since underperformed with -9% total returns in Q2, mostly from Cloudera.
• The cloud infrastructure subsector has continued to sharply outperform, mostly driven
by price gains in Rackspace’s second-out term loan. Having traded as low as $25 in
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