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Possible SEGRO and Prologis Combination
研报英文原文证据摘录
Possible SEGRO and Prologis Combination
Forecast returns
Forecast price appreciation -
Forecast dividend yield -
Forecast stock return -
Market return assumption 9.1%
Forecast excess return -
Company Description
SEGRO is a leading FTSE100 owner and developer of urban warehousing and light industrial
property. The REIT's UK portfolio is concentrated in key warehousing locations, including the
Slough Trading Estate, Park Royal, Heathrow and the Midlands. In continental Europe, SEGRO
is focused on key conurbations and major distribution hubs in France, Germany, Poland and
Italy.
Valuation Method and Risk Statement
The real estate sector can be cyclical and faces risks at a number of levels. First the level of the
economy both macro and local can adversely affect demand and the ability of tenants to pay
rent. Excessive levels of supply can also lead to falling rents. Rising interest rates can impact
the security of the tenant base, lower development margins significantly, and reduce
investment appetite. Interest rates, bond yields and the relative attractions of other asset
classes can all impact property values. Property values can also be affected by changes in
planning, taxes, technology and lease structures. These risks can be amplified in the real
estate sector through development exposure, gearing and the rating. SEGRO maintains an
overweight position to the UK (57% of capital value), of which the majority is situated in
London and the Thames Valley. Over the past decade they have increased their exposure to
Continental Europe where the main markets are Germany, France, Italy and Poland. Their
specialism is Urban Logistics, particularly in the UK where the Slough Industrial Estate is the
key asset in the portfolio.
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