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US Internet Takeaways from 2Q26 Ad Expert Call Series - 5
研报英文原文证据摘录
US Internet Takeaways from 2Q26 Ad Expert Call Series - 5
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CPC inflation across nearly every vertical / client. There was also an increased need +1-212-713 1201
to underwrite the higher CPCs as organic search traffic had gone to near zero due
to AI Overviews / AI Mode. YouTube growth is came in roughly in line at 13% vs
12.5%-13% prior. Looking forward, 3Q26 Search growth forecast also stands at
11% (with our expert noting tools such as AI Max were supporting performance
incrementality now), whereas YouTube was unchanged at 13% with our expert
noting consequential spending planned around the world cup. As a result, 2026
Search budget growth was revised up to 10%-11% from 8.5%-9% prior;
YouTube growth estimates were roughly unchanged at 13% with some upside
bias if the current Upfront season led to more opportunity and if YouTube AI tools
starting contributing to performance sooner than expected.
META (Directionally +ve): 2Q26 tracking above forecasted 9% and closer to
10%. Our expert increased 2026 growth expectation to 10% YOY (vs 9% prior),
citing that Meta had also seen a CPM increase but clients maintained willingness
to spend as the platform remains performant. Our expert flagged that majority of
the spend was going to Instagram, with some to Facebook and further that he was
not yet testing either Meta Business Messenger or new WhatsApp chat / search
products (read our note here). 3Q26 budget forecast was raised to 10% from 9%
prior.
AMZN (Directionally +ve): Better-than-expected 2Q26 with core Amazon PLA /
search budgets growing 7.5% YOY vs 6.5% projected and Prime Video / CTV /
DSP budgets reporting 20% vs 18%-19% projected. PLA spend was held back by
the expert having high exposure to healthcare where clients were hesitant to
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