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2026 Stress Test: Positive for CFG, COF, C
研报英文原文证据摘录
2026 Stress Test: Positive for CFG, COF, C
Update
June 24, 2026 11:11 PM GMT
Morgan Stanley & Co. LLCMUS Banks | North America Manan Gosalia
Equity Analyst
2026 Stress Test: Positive for Manan.Gosalia@morganstanley.comJeffrey Adelson, CFA +1 212 761-4092
Jeff.Adelson@morganstanley.com +1 212 761-1761
CFG, COF, C Ryan Kenny, CFA
As we expected coming into the test results, inferred Stress Capital Buffers for CFG, Ryan.Kenny@morganstanley.com +1 212 761-1664
Brian Wilczynski, CFA
COF, C moved lower. While test results do not impact official capital requirements, Equity Analyst
improving y/y trends for these 3 stocks are positive for sentiment and support Brian.Wilczynski@morganstanley.com +1 212 761-1084
Connell J Schmitz
future buyback capacity. Research Associate
Connell.Schmitz@morganstanley.com +1 212 761-6252
Key takeaways: Ben Bayanfar
Research Associate
• While 2026 stress test results do not impact official capital requirements, Ben.Bayanfar@morganstanley.com +1 212 761-0649
test results released today are useful because we can still infer what the new Alexander L Ward
Stress Capital Buffers (SCB) would be by looking at the capital drawdown Alex.Ward@morganstanley.com +1 212 296-3096
and dividend prefunding (calculations below). Joseph Leeman
• Inferred SCB for 7 of the banks we cover moved lower vs. the last stress test Research Associate
Joseph.Leeman@morganstanley.com +1 212 761-4381
- CFG, COF, FITB, KEY, C, MTB and USB.
Large Cap Banks
• Meaningful improvement on inferred SCBs can be attributed to fundamental
North America
changes in the business for CFG, COF and C, and an easier stress test for off Industry View Attractive
cycle banks like CFG, FITB and KEY (CFG benefits from both). Midcap Banks
• We view this as most positive for CFG, COF and C.
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