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Expert Call Recap: Signs Point to Normal 2Q Fundamentals
研报英文原文证据摘录
Expert Call Recap: Signs Point to Normal 2Q Fundamentals
The expert emphasized the printwear market is currently in the middle of a major
technology-driven transition, as production shifts from traditional screen printing
toward digital / print-on-demand models. In his view, this shift is changing order
patterns meaningfully, toward many more small orders, fewer large runs, lower unit
volumes, but often higher revenue per unit. This makes conventional industry growth
metrics harder to interpret. He further flagged the industry is likely in a 2-3 year
transition period, with forecasting models disrupted by both the technology shift and
lingering post-COVID volatility. Even so, he was clear Gildan remains the dominant
player in the category and despite elevated inventory in the marketplace, he does not
currently see the pricing behavior or promotional environment which would normally
indicate a broad channel clean-up is underway.
...plus, there are four structural reasons explaining current inventory levels:
First, post-COVID supply chain disruption likely led distributors to rebuild inventory and
carry more stock after a period in which fulfillment had become extremely fragmented
across multiple DCs. Second, tariff uncertainty likely fueled some pull-forward of
purchases, both to secure supply and avoid price increases. The expert also noted tariff-
driven supply chain disruption has contributed to reshoring decorated apparel work
back into the U.S. Third, the industry’s shift toward digital / on-demand printing
production and faster-turn retail replenishment is likely increasing the need for broader
regional inventory availability, particularly if customers require 2-3 week turns rather
than 8-12 week offshore lead times. Fourth, the expert noted it would make sense
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