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U.S. FIRST TO MARKET
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U.S. FIRST TO MARKET
North America Equity Research
U.S. First to Market 23 June 2026
Top Stories
| International Business Machines (Brian Essex, CFA) (IBM, OW, PT $291.00)
A Guide to IBM Software: Upgrading to Overweight with Greater Confidence in Software
Acceleration Ahead
We are upgrading to Overweight with greater confidence in a 2H’26 CC software acceleration following a deeper look
at IBM’s software business. We’ve previously noted that software is the primary driver of IBM stock and this remains the case
as the higher value software business mix continues to grow. We could still see some RHEL softness on the back of weaker
server growth across the industry, but we think this will be more than offset by: 1) Red Hat/OpenShift migration tailwinds; 2)
OpenShift strength aided by growing AI-driven container adoption; 3) Automation reacceleration as HashiCorp taps increasing
C-suite sponsorship; 4) contribution from Data following the recent Confluent acquisition; and 5) Transaction Processing
acceleration related to the current mainframe cycle.
Mentions
AFL | Amazon.com (Doug Anmuth) (AMZN, OW, PT $330.00)
Prime Deep Dive Suggests 10x Value Potential for Members, 370M+ Subs Ending 2026, & Agentic
Advantages; Prime Day Shifts ~$7B-$8B Incremental Revenue Into 2Q26
AFL | Tyler Technologies (Alexei Gogolev) (TYL, OW, PT $525.00)
Recentering Investor Focus On Cloud Migration Runway with FCF Durability
Ionis Pharmaceuticals (Jessica Fye) (IONS, OW)
Spinal Muscular Atrophy KOL Call Takeaways
Cencora Inc (Lisa C. Gill) (COR, OW)
Cencora Week Day 2: U.S. Healthcare Solutions
CW | Scholar Rock (Tessa T Romero) (SRRK, OW)
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