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The Nuclear Debate: Who, What, When, & Why? Sector Risk Everyone is Discussing
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The Nuclear Debate: Who, What, When, & Why? Sector Risk Everyone is Discussing
NORTH AMERICA | Power & Utilities EquityJuneResearch22, 2026
The Nuclear Debate: Who, What, When, & Why? With traditional solar/storage and even
natural gas plus carbon capture offeringSector Risk Everyone is Discussing lower risk, we see very significant hesitations
We see momentum on AP1000 large scale nuclear utility consortium among management teams, regulators, and
investors. With the US utility industry on the
announcement, a negative for the sector. Vast majority of utility investors best footing in decades, we worry that a large
we speak to are cautious given the challenging track record of new nuclear nuclear consortium could be the straw that
construction. Utilities are expected to have 'skin in the game' on new breaks the camel's back.
nuclear, despite significant Federal support. We are watching DUK the most Exhibit 1 - US Nuclear Capacity (MW)
closely. Natural gas, smaller nuclear, enhanced geothermal, & solar/storage all Gray = Unregulated operations. NEE / D is pro-
forma and mostly regulated.
25,000advantaged.
20,000
15,000
Investors are debating when, not if, AP1000 progress materializes for large-cap utilities: we 10,0005,000
-remain skeptical. We continue to receive inbounds from mostly cautious utility investors and
CEG D/ DUK SO TVA VST ETR PNW PEG TLN PCG AEP MUNI XEL AEE EVRG DTE NEE .bullish nuclear fuel chain investors related to the oft-discussed Westinghouse AP1000 new nuclear
Source: Nuclear Regulatory Commission, Bloomberg,
consortium. The US government has been engaged with regulated utilities for at least two years Company Filings, and Jefferies LLC
on a consolidated effort for new nuclear development.
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