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NH Foods
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NH Foods
Global Markets Research
17 June 2026NH Foods
2282.T 2282 JP / EQUITY: JAPAN FOOD, BEVERAGES & TOBACCO
RatingWe await additional restructuring at processed
Remains Buyfoods segment
Target price
Revised strategy for processed foods segment key to achieving medium- Reduced from 7,800 JPY 7,400
term ROE target of 10%
Closing price JPY 6,050We reiterate Buy rating, await new restructuring plans 16 June 2026
Looking ahead, our focus will be on whether NH Foods can come up with a path to achieving
Implied upside +22.3%ROE of 10% from a medium-term perspective of around three years. It has been proactive
about shareholder returns with an eye to capital efficiency, and its strategy for the fresh meats
segment has been working too. We expect profits to fall in 27/3, but this is largely because of
the disappearance of one-time gains. Profits are now higher in absolute terms than they were
Relative performance chartprior to 25/3, and growth strategies are also coming into view. The processed foods segment
has been hampering improvement in companywide ROE. Progress has been made with
restructuring of the sausage business, but efforts in other businesses have been slow. We think
it is now time to talk about downsizing or even withdrawing from unprofitable businesses. The
company is becoming increasingly aware of ROIC, and we think it can make sensible decisions.
We look for swift action. We reiterate our Buy rating and obtain our target price of ¥7,400 by
multiplying our 27/3 adjusted EPS forecast (excluding restructuring-related costs) by a P/E of
17x (unchanged).
26/3 Q4 results: Ahead of our forecasts, particularly at fresh meats segment
NH Foods generated business profits of ¥10.2bn (up 4-fold y-y) in 26/3 Q4, driven by the fresh
meats segment.
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