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Bottoming out – tactically positive Quick Note
研报英文原文证据摘录
Bottoming out – tactically positive Quick Note
Nomura Securities Malaysia Sdn Bhd
Sarana Menara Nusantara TOWR.JK TOWR IJ 15 June 2026
EQUITY: TELECOMS
RatingBottoming out – tactically positive Remains Buy
Target price IDR 950 RemainsQuick Note
Closing priceOver the past 12 months, TOWR share price has declined by ~50% (the most amongst its 12 June 2026 IDR 344
peers; JCI down 16.6% over the same period). We attribute the decline to, amongst
others, the company’s rising gearing level (with net debt-to-EBITDA at over 4x – highest in
the industry), following a slew of acquisitions as well as tower rental yield repricing. These Research Analysts
have translated into lower ROAAs as well as dividend yields. However, we think earnings Indonesia Research Teamshould bottom out, as we expect: 1) risks of rental repricing should diminish, and 2) rising
Heng Siong Kong - NSMtenancies on fiber assets (hence asset turnover) as data traffic is on a structural uptrend. hengsiong.kong@nomura.com
The recent capital raising, too, should mitigate the risks associated with rising financing +603 2027 6894
rates. Combined with reduced major fiber capex, we anticipate ROAA to improve in the
medium term. These developments should drive down net gearing to below 4.0x (net debt- Onshore expert
to-EBITDA in 2026F).
Erwin Wijaya (erwin.wijaya@verdhana.id)
Improving yield
Theonshoreexperts,whoareImproving earnings and a lower gearing level, should allow the company to increase
employedbyPTVerdhanaSekuritasdividend payouts. Historically, the company has had a payout ratio of 35-50%. Assuming a
Indonesia(“Verdhana”)andarenotpayout ratio of 35%, we estimate the dividend yield to recover from a low of ~2.0% in 2026 licensedoutsideIndonesia,have
to ~7-8% for 2027F – above the risk-free securities.
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