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Updating our target price
研报英文原文证据摘录
Updating our target price
Global Markets Research
15 June 2026Medley
4480.T 4480 JP / EQUITY: JAPAN PHARMACEUTICALS
RatingUpdating our target price Remains Buy
Target price
Focus on expansion into physician and pharmacist professions and Reduced from 4,670 JPY 4,300
strengthening of AI pay-per-use services in the medical platform segment
Closing price JPY 2,038We maintain our Buy rating and revise our DCF assumptions 12 June 2026
For details on earnings trends, see our 14 May Quick Note Medley:25/12Q1results:
Implied upside +111.0%Steadyperformance,brightprospectsforQ2onwards. In Q1 26/12 (Jan–Mar), we
confirmed continued growth in the HR platform segment, which began recovering in Q4 of
25/12. We also confirmed solid progress in April, the seasonal demand peak, with sales
growing y-y despite the positive impact of price increases on April 2025 sales. We expect
Relative performance chartthe AI-powered applicant tracking system (AI-ATS) launched in April to help reduce
missed recruitment management opportunities and uncollected fees from Q2 onward. We
raise the risk-free rate assumption used in our DCF model to from 1.5% to 2.0% to reflect
higher interest rates. Our earnings forecasts and other assumptions are unchanged. We
revise our WACC assumption from 8.4% to 8.9% and lower our DCF-based target price to
¥4,300. We maintain our Buy rating.
Our forecast
HR platform segment: From Q2 onward, we expect the AI-ATS launched in April to help
reduce missed recruitment management opportunities and uncollected fees. We expect
the acquisition of Recruit Medical Career (RMC) to contribute ¥0.5bn in sales and an
operating loss of ¥0.3bn in 26/12, as the April demand peak will not be included. In 27/12,
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