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U.S. Cold Storage REITs "Cold Blast - July 2026" Goldsmith
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U.S. Cold Storage REITs "Cold Blast - July 2026" Goldsmith
Global Research
24 July 2026ab
U.S. Cold Storage REITs Equities
AmericasCold Blast - July 2026
Real Estate
Michael Goldsmith
Our take: Cold Storage macro indicators were mixed in June 2026 with Analyst
inventory levels improving on very easy comparisons and Cold Storage michael.goldsmith@ubs.com
PPI declining +1-212-713 2951
As we see it, the key takeaways for the Cold Storage REITs from the most recent macro Ami Probandt
indicator releases are: Analyst
ami.probandt@ubs.com
1. USDA cold storage inventories in June 2026 grew yr/yr by +2.3%, accelerating +1-212-713 2078
sequentially by +60 bps. We believe the positive inflection in trends is due in part
Justin Haasbeek
to easier comparisons. The 2-year stack in June 2026 of -2.5% actually
Associate Analyst
decelerated sequentially by -50 bps. From here, comparisons become more justin.haasbeek@ubs.com
challenging in July and August before easing later in the year. +1-212-713 2014
2. Inventory levels for categories that are most impactful for COLD and LINE showed Connor Mitchell
improvement. Our calculated inventory composite in June 2026 for LINE was up Associate Analyst
+1.1% yr/yr (sequential acceleration of 110 bps) and COLD was up connor.mitchell@ubs.com
+1-212-649 8246 0.9% (sequential acceleration of 100 bps). We think easy comparisons were a
factor with the 2-yr stack remaining negative for both companies. Anna O'Neil
3. However, Cold Storage PPI growth in June 2026 was down -2.2%, a sequential anna.oneil@ubs.com
deceleration of -90 bps. It remains soft on absolute terms, which we think reflects +1-212-713 4386
constrained pricing power in a high supply backdrop.
4. CPI growth in June 2026 was 3.5%, below May of 4.2% & April of 3.8% with
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