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Arctic: Norsk Hydro - Q2: Stronger than expected
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Arctic: Norsk Hydro - Q2: Stronger than expected
Norsk Hydro Buy Hold
NHY NO | Materials | Equity Company Update | 22 July 2026 | 06:32 Sell
Q2: Stronger than expected Financials and estimates changes Target NOK 90.00
● Underlying EBITDA of NOK 8,923m (ARCe: NOK 7,868m, Cons.: 8,216) Key Figures (NOKm) Dec-24 Dec-25 Dec-26e Dec-27e Dec-28e Highlights
● Beat vs. ARCe driven by upstream segments with additional tailwind from other/ Recommendation Hold
Revenue 208,662.8 213,279.0 216,590.9 221,437.1 222,312.7 Target Price NOK 90.00
eliminations
EBITDA 26,543.5 25,694.0 28,542.0 31,626.9 32,084.1 Share Price NOK 83.7
● CapEx guidance reiterated EBIT 16,488.4 14,402.0 18,545.5 22,236.9 22,694.1 Upside (%) 7.5
● Positve estimate revisions expected EPS 2.89 3.40 6.91 7.33 7.48 Market cap (NOKm) 164,471
Adj. EBITDA 26,317.9 28,888.0 30,113.0 31,626.9 32,084.1 Enterprise Value (NOKm) 202,443
Underlying EBITDA above expectations
Adj. EBITDA margin (%) 12.6 13.5 13.9 14.3 14.4 Number of shares (m) 1,965
Norsk Hydro reported underlying EBITDA of NOK 8,923m, above our estimate of NOK 7,868m Adj. EPS 4.48 5.02 6.82 7.33 7.48
and consensus of NOK 8,216m. The beat was broad-based across most segments (excluding Revenue growth (%) 5.2 2.2 1.6 2.2 0.4 12 months share price performance:
Metal Market), with the largest contribution upstream segments (+NOK 800m vs ARCe) from EPS growth (%) 74.3 17.5 103.1 6.2 2.0 150 Performance (%) 3M 6M 1Y
OSEBX -21.2% -1.6% 35.0%Other/Eliminations (+NOK 300m vs ARCe). The beat in Aluminium Metal was mainly driven by 140 NHY NO -18.9% 1.2% 38.9%
realized prices coming in 4% above expectations. Adjusted for the beat in Other/Eliminations, DPS 2.25 3.00 4.00 4.00 4.00 130
underlying EBITDA was still 10% above ARCe and 7% above consensus.
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