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Edenred SE: Brazil bite looks more manageable
研报英文原文证据摘录
Edenred SE: Brazil bite looks more manageable
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Edenred SE
Brazil bite looks more manageable
Reiterate Rating: NO RATING | PO: NA | Price: 26.15 EUR
Better 1H26 performance leads to FY guide upgrade 24 July 2026
Edenred’s 1H26 revenue came in at €1,473m, 1.3% higher than consensus of €1,454m, Equity
driven by better operating revenue and other revenue. EBITDA of €616m beat consensus
by €10m or 1.7%. FY guidance was upgraded to a 7-10% LfL EBITDA decline (vs -8-12%.
Key ChangesPreviously). We raise 2026E EBITDA to €1,250m, at the midpoint of the new guidance
range. We moved to No Rating on the stock following news of the company being (EUR) Previous Current
approached by investment funds (see report: Edenred: Company approached by 2026E EPS 1.99 1.97
investment funds. We move to no rating). 2027E EPS 2.32 2.37
2028E EPS 2.66 2.69
Brazil regulation impact less than expected
Part of the beat and guidance upgrade reflects a less severe impact from the Brazilian Kate Xiao, CFA >>
Research Analyst
meal voucher regulation (see report: Brazil presidential decree: the next leg of rebasing). MLI (UK)
Better-than-expected client renegotiations in Brazil and stronger employer acceptance +44 20 7996 3051 kate.xiao2@bofa.com
of higher take-up rates following the merchant discount rate cap have mitigated the
Muneeba Kayani >>
impact. The partial switching to open loop has been slower than expected, as it has Research Analyst
taken longer for acquirers to get connected to the Edenred system. MLI (UK) +44 20 7996 5208
8-12% EBITDA growth guidance from 2027 onwards muneeba.kayani@bofa.com Jack Raeburn >>
Edenred is guiding a return to LfL EBITDA growth of 8-12% from 2027, despite the Research Analyst
impact of regulation in Brazil in the first 2 quarters of the year.
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