普通外文研报
Teck: Another confidence inducing quarter. Buy
研报英文原文证据摘录
Teck: Another confidence inducing quarter. Buy
Deutsche Bank
Research
Rating Company Date
Buy Teck 23 July 2026
Company Update
North America
Canada
Reuters Bloomberg Exchange Ticker Price at 22 Jul 2026 (USD) 57.21
TECK.N TECK US NYS TECK
Price target 68.00
Industrials
52-week range 70.56 - 31.20
Metals & Mining
Another confidence inducing quarter.
Valuation & Risks Buy
Liam Fitzpatrick
Q2 results: a very strong first half; upside risk to guidance Research Analyst
Teck reported Q2 adjusted EBITDA of C$2.2bn, ~26% above consensus (Fig 2) and +44-20-754-13233
slightly ahead of a very strong Q1 (C$2.1bn). The beat was driven by strong copper
Cody Hayden
production, higher realised prices and lower cash costs, supported by robust by- Research Analyst
product credits. The Trail zinc smelter also delivered another strong quarter. While +44-20-754-13230
some areas will moderate in H2 (production is expected to be H1 weighted for most
Bastian Synagowitz
of the mines other than for QB), the strong operating performance is encouraging.
Research Analyst
Management reiterated 2026 guidance (Fig 4); however, we think there is upside
+41-44-227-3377
risk with potential formal upgrades with the Q3 results in October. At QB, the
planned works at the Tailings Management Facility (TMF) continues to progress to
plan. Supported by strong earnings and a C$0.2bn WC inflow, the company ended
the period with a net cash position of C$1.2bn (DB C$0.4bn). Post results, we revise
our 2026 EBITDA estimate ~7% higher and leave our US$68 TP unchanged. Buy.
Within, we provide our detailed Q2 results review and a summary of latest company
guidance.
Key focus areas for 2026+
(1) The Anglo Teck merger continues to progress, with China anti-trust the final
remaining regulatory approval still outstanding.
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