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How not to make friends and influence people. Does it matter?
研报英文原文证据摘录
How not to make friends and influence people. Does it matter?
ay-25 Jul-25 Sep-25 Nov-25 Jan-26 Mar-26 May-26 Jul-26
solutions with some expiring soon and, hence, news of alternatives under Spot 1 Year Forward
administrative not emergency powers, using arguments of "forced labor",
forest fires etc. At this point it is not even clear whether already negotiated Source: Bloomberg; Macquarie Global Strategy
"deals" (e.g. EU, UK, Korea) will survive. Adjusting for refunds — following
US Favorability Rating (%)the SCOTUS ruling — net tariffs have actually turned negative, creating an
100%urgency US Favorability Rating (%) to replenish the coffers. The same "escalate to de-escalate" logic
90%
80% 86% 83% 78% 77% 76% 71% 68%is evident in Iran escalation, with predictable outcomes amid shifting US
70%
60% 50% 49%goals vs Iran's consistent strategic objectives. 3. Whether trade or wars, 62% 59% 58% 50% 41% 40% 45%
27% 31% 33% 27% 24%these strategies are reducing value of brand US. While favorability has been 40%30%
eroding since late 90s, policy whiplashes and dismantling of global norms is 20%10%
causing the historic collapse almost everywhere. The backlash is strongest 0% Poland UK Germany Japan Italy Canada Mexico France Australia Korea
among US's allies and nations in proximity. Per Pew, the average positive 2000 2026
view of the US collapsed from ~72% in '00 to ~37% while net negative view
is now 20% vs positive 15% in '24. Although mistrust of China is high, for Source: Pew; Macquarie Global Strategy
the first time, China's favorability ratings match or exceed that of the US
US vs China Favorability Rating (%) -(e.g. Australia, Korea, UK, Germany, France). Also, Pew shows that in many 2026
nations, there is now greater confidence in the president of China vs US.
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