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Replay: Expert Access: Barclays: RTDs: Structural Share Gainer or Cyclical Spike with expert Lou Applebaum
研报英文原文证据摘录
Replay: Expert Access: Barclays: RTDs: Structural Share Gainer or Cyclical Spike with expert Lou Applebaum
Barclays | Replay: Expert Access
•• RTDs are a structural winner, not a fad. Lou Applebaum believes the RTD category has
moved beyond a temporary cycle. While hard seltzers may have been the catalyst, the
broader RTD category is now embedded in consumer behaviour and continues to gain value
share across U.S. alcohol.
•• Gen Z remains the key growth engine. The category is benefiting from a multi-year
demographic tailwind as millions of Gen Z consumers enter legal drinking age annually. Gen
Z's preference for cocktails over traditional alcohol categories is expected to support RTD
growth for years.
•• Growth has shifted from volume to premiumisation. RTD volume share appears to be
approaching a more mature phase, but consumers continue to trade up into higher-priced
spirit- and wine-based offerings, driving dollar growth faster than volume growth.
•• Hard seltzers are losing share due to flavour fatigue. Consumers initially embraced hard
seltzers for simplicity and low calories, but increasingly want more authentic cocktail
experiences and richer flavours. This explains the migration toward spirit-based RTDs.
•• Convenience matters, but flavour matters more. Ease of consumption and portability help
attract consumers, but sustained success is determined by taste quality. The strongest RTD
brands are those delivering a genuine cocktail experience rather than simply offering
convenience.
•• Beer is the biggest source of share loss. Most RTD growth appears to be coming at the
expense of beer, particularly segments such as craft beer that are perceived as heavier, less
transparent and less aligned with moderation trends.
•• Consumers are willingly paying a premium.
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