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P&C Insurance Q2/26 Preview: Reasonable Valuations, Improving Top Line
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P&C Insurance Q2/26 Preview: Reasonable Valuations, Improving Top Line
TD SECURITIES INC. - CANADA INDUSTRY UPDATE
July 14, 2026
■Financial Services - Insurance P&C Insurance Q2/26 Preview: Reasonable
Valuations, Improving Top Line
Mario Mendonca, CFA, CA^ THE TD COWEN INSIGHT
416 308 2361
IFC reports Q2/26 on July 28, DFY on July 30, and TSU on Aug 6. Themes for Q2/26: a) strong
mario.mendonca@tdsecurities.com
underlying conditions (esp. personal lines) but moderating commercial topline, b) elevated
Masa Song^ CAT quarter, c) strong U.S. growth. We see a good risk-reward setup given low valuations and
416 982 5452 improving topline. Our estimates are in line with cons. for TSU; above for DFY; below for IFC
masa.song@tdsecurities.com
(reflects CATs announcement).
Fernando Torrealba Tesi, CFA^
416 983 2664 Reasonable valuation multiples and better top-line momentum provide favourable setup:
fernando.torrealbatesi@tdsecurities.com Although P&C stocks have performed better recently, they still trade at lower multiples
vs. long-term averages. We expect continued top-line growth and limited drag from large
Price Target Changes
commercial property softness to support P&C stocks from here. Longer term, we see potential
DFY-T C$89.00 (Prior C$86.00)
catalysts in: 1) better-than-expected synergies (DFY-TRV), 2) potential M&A (IFC), and 3) U.S.
platform growth (TSU).
P&C Outlook: Personal lines remain firm as the industry continues to increase rates in auto
and property to cope with structurally higher claims costs - we do not believe IFC and DFY are
over-earning. Large commercial property should remain soft until profit erosion drives rate
increases (IFC and DFY have limited exposure). For DFY, the pace of expense synergies from
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