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PNC Financial Services: Quick Take on 2Q26 Earnings Result: Beat and Raise, Favorable Setup if Momentum Holds
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PNC Financial Services: Quick Take on 2Q26 Earnings Result: Beat and Raise, Favorable Setup if Momentum Holds
Update
July 16, 2026 12:08 AM GMT
Morgan Stanley & Co. LLCMPNC Financial Services | North America Manan Gosalia
Equity Analyst
Quick Take on 2Q26 Earnings Manan.Gosalia@morganstanley.comBen Bayanfar +1 212 761-4092
Research Associate
Ben.Bayanfar@morganstanley.com +1 212 761-0649
Result: Beat and Raise,
PNC Financial Services (PNC.N, PNC UN)
Large Cap Banks | United States of AmericaFavorable Setup if Momentum
Stock Rating Equal-weight
Industry View Attractive
Price target $278.00Holds Shr price, close (Jul 15, 2026) $254.15
Mkt cap, curr (mm) $101,406
52-Week Range $256.05-176.90
Reaction to earnings
Unchanged Modest upside Modest revision higher
Impact to our thesis Financial results versus consensus Direction of next 12-month
consensus EPS
Source: Company data, Morgan Stanley Research
Guidance raise was better than expected and we see the new
guide as readily achievable: loan growth is running stronger than
expectations, deposit costs fell 5bps Q/Q against industry
competition worries, and the 2Q securities repo (~120bps higher
reinvestment yield) adds a further tailwind to NII.
Our Key Takeaways:
Guidance lifted across the board and better than Street: Revenue guide raised
~2% and expenses ~1.5%, driving a ~1.50% lift to the implied PPNR guide, with the
new outlook now ~2% above consensus for FY26 at the midpoint. Positive operating
leverage embedded in the guide now runs ~450bps vs ~400bps prior. We forecast
~470bps of operating leverage for the year.
Exit rate of NIM reaffirmed driven by fixed asset repricing, securities reposition,
and deposit cost performance.
• NIM was up just 1bp Q/Q to 2.96%, slightly soft relative to expectations,
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