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North America Metals and Mining: Don't dream it's over - 2Q26 Earnings Preview
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North America Metals and Mining: Don't dream it's over - 2Q26 Earnings Preview
Equity Research
15 July 2026
North America Metals and Mining
Don't dream it's over - 2Q26
Earnings Preview
We maintain our positive outlook on commodities and raise North America Metals & Mining
our copper price forecasts for 2027/2028 to $6.50/lb, owing to POSITIVE Unchanged
increased conviction of a tighter for longer copper market. North America Metals & Mining
Richard Garchitorena
Reiterate Positive sector view: Commodity prices have seen increased volatility in 2Q26, +1 212 526 5697
richard.garchitorena@barclays.comdriven by the ongoing back and forth uncertainty on an Iran conflict resolution, as well as
BCI, US
concerns on what a lingering disruption could do to industrial activity and inflation. This
volatility has hit metals and mining equities hard: all of the subgroups are down well off their Liqi Peng
52-week highs, with gold and copper equities the largest underperformers over the past 3 +1 212 526 1964
liqi.peng@barclays.commonths. While the timing of an end to the conflict is impossible to predict, we expect an
eventual resolution to act as a clearing event. As a result, we view near-term selloffs for some
names we cover as opportunities to add exposure to the group. European Metals & Mining
Amos Fletcher, CFA
Raising copper, resetting gold, maintaining steel forecasts to 2027: Heading into 2Q +44 (0)20 7773 2225
earnings season, we mark to market our 2Q estimates to reflect actual prices, but also reset our amos.fletcher@barclays.com
commodity price decks given current market dynamics. Copper - We upgrade our copper price Barclays, UK
forecasts from 3Q26-2028 to reflect higher conviction of a tighter for longer copper market, with Ian Rossouw, CFA
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