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U.S. Homebuilding & Building Products: The 2Q’26 Earnings Setup
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U.S. Homebuilding & Building Products: The 2Q’26 Earnings Setup
Equity Research
14 July 2026
U.S. Homebuilding & Building Products
The 2Q’26 Earnings Setup
We lean toward building products, distributor, and brokerage
names with pricing power and exposure to more resilient
parts of the market (non-res, luxury). For homebuilders, U.S. Homebuilding & Building Products POSITIVE
Unchangedsluggish trends leave minimal catalysts. We mark to market
on SF starts and reduce our '27 starts assumption. U.S. Homebuilding & Building
Products
Matthew Bouley
We enter the 2Q earnings season with continued volatility in consumer sentiment, ongoing +1 212 526 9029
inflation that is receding on the margin, higher rates, stable R&R, and sluggish new matthew.bouley@barclays.com
construction. BCI, US
Elizabeth Langan
While investor sentiment toward the homebuilder group remains cautious, we are seeing +1 212 526 5960
growing interest in the building products space, heightened by recent M&A activity elizabeth.langan@barclays.com
(Carlisle's unsolicited bid for Owens Corning) and changing management teams (New CEO BCI, US
Appointment at FBIN).
Anika Dholakia
+1 212 526 8780
As we move into 2Q, while subdued end market sentiment is commonplace, we find
anika.dholakia@barclays.com
relative value in select building product names with favorable price-cost dynamics (WMS, BCI, US
OC), exposure to more resilient luxury activity (COMP), and the ability to drive market
outgrowth through strategic initiatives and positioning around large-scale capital projects Elaine Ku
+1 212 526 7529
(FERG). We remain cautious on categories with limited pricing power (MHK). We also remain
elaine.ku@barclays.com
sidelined on homebuilders, as rising single-family inventory levels continue to pressure BCI, US
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