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Company Report
July 14, 2026 AXT Inc. (AXTI)
Rating: Q2 PreviewOUTPERFORM
Price:
$50.46 A Number of Reasons to Believe Demand is Tracking Better
12-Month Price Target:
As a reminder, AXTI's guidance was dictated by export licenses the company
$93.00 had received from the Chinese government. With license grants having been the
primary bottleneck for AXTI the last few quarters (resulting in order backlog that
Analysts now exceeds $100M) see several intra quarter data points as offering a more
Matt Bryson optimistic outlook on this front (and moving forward).
(617) 695-6302 ● Landmark reported sales of NT$421M for June. As such, Q2 revenues grew 35%
matthew.bryson@wedbush.com from Q1 and were up 120% Y/Y.
Antoine Legault, CFA, CPA
(626) 497-1619 Landmark has been one of AXT's few noted 10% customers in recent years. As
antoine.legault@wedbush.com such, we see this growth as a positive sign for AXT's Q2 (even with Landmark
also having recently signed a deal for substrate supply with Sumitomo).
● Tongmei signed a deal with Coherent committing to developing and supplyingCompany Information - Hardware
Market Cap (M) $3,743 6" substrates over a 3-year period:
Enterprise Value (M) $3,796 ■ With the deal forfeit if AXTI is unable to meet agreed upon shipments, we
52-Week Range $1.85 - $143.16 see this agreement as a sign that AXTI is confident in its ability to export
REV (M) in $ substrate moving forward.
FYE Dec 2025A 2026E 2027E ■ The supply of 6" substrates (rather than 3" or 4" material) in our view
Q1 Mar 19.4A 26.9A 43.4E validates AXTI's claims its technology is more advanced than most/many of
Q2 Jun 18.0A 34.1E 51.6E its peers, with most producers other than AXTI and Sumitomo (to the best Q3 Sep 28.0A 36.6E 55.0E
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