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Q2 on the softer side
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Q2 on the softer side
Equity Research - 14 July 2026 08:33 CEST
Fast commentNorion Bank
Q2 on the softer side HOLD
• Q2 operating profit 9% below ABGSC and consensus Financials
• NII falling short of expectations in Q2 NORION-SE/NORION SS
• Cons. to cut estimates 3-5%, share down today Share price (SEK) 13/7/2026 63.90
Q2 operating profit 9% below ABGSC and consensus Target price 65.00
The Q2’26 operating profit came in at SEK 329m (472m), 9% below
ABGSC and consensus. Adjusted operating profit, excluding one-offs MCap (SEKm) 12,127
(SEK 107m) amounted to SEK 436m, which was 7% below our forecast. MCap (EURm) 1,099
The main deviation compared to our estimates was weaker than expected No. of shares (m) 189.8
net interest income. Total lending came in at SEK 54.4bn (49.4bn), +2%
Free float (%) 26.6
vs. ABGSC forecast, up 6% q-o-q and 10% y-o-y. The strong lending
Av. daily volume (k) 33development in Q2 will have a positive impact on consensus estimate
revisions, all else equal. The CET1 ratio came in at 13.2%, a tad below
ABGSC at 13.6% and below consensus at 14.1%. Next event Q2 report 14 July 2026
Net interest income on the soft side Analyst:
Net interest income (NII) came in at SEK 864m (861m), which was 4% patrik.brattelius@abgsc.se, +46 8 566 286 64
below ABGSC's estimate. This corresponds to a net interest margin
(lending) of 6.5%, up 10bp q-o-q. The margin in Q2 was 40bp lower than
ABGSC’s expectation. Total income came in 3% below ABGSC and 2%
below consensus. We expect some negative consensus revisions on the
income side following the report. Costs were in line with our forecast,
even when adjusting for one-offs of SEK 107m (Swedish FSA fee and
Consensus Asset management). The loan loss ratio came in at 1.7%. This
was in line with ABGSC forecast of 1.7%.
Cons.
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