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Post-Preview Model Updates
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Post-Preview Model Updates
Equity Research
Earnings Revised — July 8, 2026
Exploration & Production
Independent Refiners
Integrated Oil & Gas
Our Call Sam Margolin
We update XOM, DK, MGY, and SM models following preview disclosures and catch-up Equity Analyst | Wells Fargo Securities, LLC
Sam.Margolin@wellsfargo.com | 212-214-8496
calls. XOM's re-positioning of "timing effects" into adjustment items is not reflected in our
Emma Liangmodel until full 2Q26 release breaks out segment detail.
Associate Equity Analyst | Wells Fargo Securities, LLC
Emma.Liang@wellsfargo.com | 212-214-3322
XOM: XOM's new pre-earnings 8-K re-positions timing effects into adjusting items. Maya MacPherson
The timing effect headwinds from 1Q - which partially reversed in 2Q - will no longer be Associate Equity Analyst | Wells Fargo Securities, LLC
included in adjusted EPS. We will not restate our 1Q26 model at this stage as we await Maya.L.Macpherson@wellsfargo.com | 212-214-5324
full sub-segment operating detail at 2Q26 earnings, and our 2Q EPS estimate embeds
the timing effect reversal. We thus express annualized earnings power within the 1H26
commodity environment.
XOM: Upstream sensitivities reflected in the 8-K are consistent with our model, yielding
1H26 segment earnings of ~$15.0B. 1H26 Energy Products earnings should be ~$7.5B,
either building from the new $2.8B adjusted 1Q26 earnings or the prior ($0.5B) reported
adjusted result. We mark to market Chems segment earnings at $1.1B and Specialty
Chems segment at $900MM, in line with the 8-K. We estimate 2Q26 EPS under the prior
format of $4.46, which equates to $3.88 under the re-stated format.
DK: We expect DK 2Q26 results to be characterized by clean operations within a strong
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