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North American Life Insurance "2Q26 US Life Preview: Strong YTD life stock..."
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North American Life Insurance "2Q26 US Life Preview: Strong YTD life stock..."
Global Research
8 July 2026ab
North American Life Insurance Equities
Americas2Q26 US Life Preview: Strong YTD life stock
performance raises the bar Insurance, Life
Michael Ward
Analyst
michael.ward@ubs.com
2Q26 picks and stock thoughts: +1-212-713 3518
Bullish on the undeserved underperformers: We expect EQH and CRBG narratives Brian Meredith
to remain dominated by their pending merger, thus we don't believe the Analyst
fundamentals will matter nearly as much as deal-related commentary/guidance. brian.meredith@ubs.com
We like EQH given the stock is actually down slightly YTD despite favorable +1-212-713 2492
capital markets tailwinds and merger accretion potential. For both EQH and Justin Tucker
CRBG we've had to raise our 2Q26E buyback estimate significantly (almost Associate Analyst
double) to solve for the share counts disclosed in the late-June proxy. If both justin.tucker@ubs.com
companies are able to take advantage of buyback windows until the deal is +1-212-713 2325
finalized, this could provide quantitative upside as we await deal closure towards
year-end.
VOYA has done well: We believe focus will be on activist investor involvement
pushing for a sale of stop loss and/or VOYA. Mgmt has been pretty consistent in
terms of denying a need to do M&A as it remediates the stop loss business and
grows core Retirement & Inv. Mgmt organically.
Overall, we lean cautious on group disability margins (see page 3) with relatively
limited wiggle-room given cyclicality & economic uncertainty (broad-based AI
replacement fear and corporate layoff trend) re: MET, UNM. We note MET has
more than rebounded from 1Q26 private-credit-fear-lows creating a somewhat
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