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Global Equity Derivatives Strategy "Mercury rising: Record single stock..."
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Global Equity Derivatives Strategy "Mercury rising: Record single stock..."
Global Research
7 July 2026ab
Global Equity Derivatives Strategy Global Strategy
GlobalMercury rising: Record single stock volatility
prime for Gamma Rentals Maxwell Grinacoff, CFA
Strategist
maxwell.grinacoff@ubs.com
+1-212-713 3892
Single stocks have never been more volatile relative to index [Figures 1-12] Gerry Fowler
Single stock volatility is continuously making new all-time highs relative to index volatility Strategist
heading into Q2 earnings – largely due to suppressed intra-index correlations – further gerry.fowler@ubs.com
+44-20-7567 5490
exacerbated by retail call buying and leveraged ETFs (see here). This is coming amidst an
already fragile environment, with our Turbu-lens signal at 0.90 (highest reading since Keith Parker
mid-September 2025). Strategist
keith.parker@ubs.com
+1-212-713 3296
While we see scope for record single stock volatility to boil over at the index level (as we
Sean Simondsbriefly witnessed on 05-June), we think it could be difficult to hedge at the index level as
dispersion/rotation could well persist through earnings reporting over the next several
sean.simonds@ubs.com
weeks. Single stock optionality could therefore present a better opportunity tactically – +1-212-713 2851
our preferred methodology for screening for these opportunities is via our Gamma
Artour DanilovRentals framework.
artour.danilov@ubs.com
Gamma Rental opportunities for 2Q26 reporting season [Figures 13-22] +44-20-7567 5203
This is the twelfth run of our Gamma Rentals framework. Hit rate for the top 50 US pairs
Nicolas Le Roux
that produced positive delta-hedged P&L was >70% last quarter (above average since Strategist
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