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Hanold's Weekly U.S. E&P Comps & Sentiment
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Hanold's Weekly U.S. E&P Comps & Sentiment
RBC Capital Markets, LLC
Scott Hanold (Analyst)
(512) 708-6354,
scott.hanold@rbccm.com
Samuel Cox (Senior
Associate)
(512) 708-6309,
samuel.cox@rbccm.com
July 1, 2026 Octavian Jordan (AVP)
(212) 618-3012,
octavian.jordan@rbccm.com Hanold's Weekly U.S. E&P Comps & SentimentRESEARCH Weekly Valuation Update: July 1, 2026
Our view: US activity remains status quo with Permian rig counts (page 4) only marginally higher YTD,
although there is more activity by privates, which could be transitory if oil prices come under more
pressure. Oil prices continue to retreat and are again sub-$70/bbl as the market digests US-Iran talks in
Qatar that signal potential normalization of Strait of Hormuz shipping. The oversupply narrative remains
the dominant driver, with Russian and Saudi barrels surging to record levels while the UAE boosted crude
exports to a record 3.7 Mb/d in June following its May OPEC departure. DOE data showed commercial
crude drawing 3.8 Mb alongside another 5.5 Mb SPR release, pushing total US inventories to 1984EQUITY
lows. Over the last week, oil-weighted E&Ps fell 3%, while gas-weighted E&Ps increased 2%. Large caps
decreased 4%, SMid caps decreased 2%. The XOP increased 1% with WTI dropping 3% and HH down 1%.
Investor sentiment: A few more generalist inbounds assessing energy valuations but more the focus is
talking through macro dynamics and interest in natural gas equities. The specialists are starting to gear
up for 2Q26 earnings season, which is still a month away. Topically activity changes given commodity
price moves and M&A are what investors appear most interested in. Discussions also seem to be
pointing to investor favorites heading into earnings: EOG, DVN, EQT, PR, CRC.
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