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Wolfe Smart Utility Vehicle (SUV)
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Wolfe Smart Utility Vehicle (SUV)
Utilities
Utilities/Regulateds – Market Overweight
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June 30, 2026
WOLFE SMART UTILITY VEHICLE (SUV)
Midyear recap vs expectations
Link: Utility Comps | Utility Stock Charts | Models
Utilities sentiment meter
Up to “6” from “5”. Utilities continued their mid-year comeback and ended the week in line with the market YTD as
the momentum trade seems to be waning. That said, election and affordability issues keep getting louder in the
sector. Last week it was Indiana’s turn again as the Gov. removed the IURC Chair he just named 6 months ago
complaining about the AES IPALCO rate order and not enough being done on affordability. We expect the
affordability noise to keep growing into the election. In IPPs, the Calpine holders lock-up on CEG shares expires for
the remaining 14M shares of the first tranche not sold last month. This has continued to be an overhang on CEG
stock.
Midyear recap of our top 10 issues to watch in 2026 for utilities; how are we tracking?
We wanted to see whether our top 10 issues (note) to watch heading into 2026 are playing out as expected or
whether there have been key surprises. Below is each issue, as written at the time, shaded in gray, followed by a
few bullets on each, written in blue font. Overall, we are not surprised utilities are lagging, given their history when
the S&P 500 is up over 10% (9.6% YTD). And several of the key themes are playing out largely the way we
expected, particularly on data center upside, CAGR raisers, equity needs, and stock moves at even the hint of
affordability pushback, though there have been some surprises on the states. On power markets, PJM is still looking
for solutions, but FERC has been more supportive. Among key events, offshore wind challenges have been resolved
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