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Exploring a Possible Magnolia / WildFire Combination
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Exploring a Possible Magnolia / WildFire Combination
June 29, 2026 | 17:06 ET~
Magnolia Oil & Gas
MGY-NYSE Rating Price: Jun-29 Target Total Rtn US E&P
Outperform $25.73 $35.00 38%
Phillip Jungwirth, CFA Analyst
phillip.jungwirth@bmo.com (303) 436-1127
Jack Kindregan, CFA VP Associate
Exploring a Possible Magnolia / WildFire Jack.Kindregan@bmo.com (303) 436-1115
Ajay Bakshani, CFA Senior AssociateCombination
ajay.bakshani@bmo.com (332) 268-6994
Bottom Line: Legal Entity: BMO Capital Markets Corp.
We’re exploring a Magnolia/WildFire combination following press reports that Magnolia
2YR Price Volume Chart
is the front-runner, while the acreage positions are highly complimentary. MGY shares 34
underperformed today, as any deal nearly doubles Magnolia’s size and likely requires 3230
equity. That said, MGY’s premium valuation and minimal debt, aids financial accretion, 28
while WildFire has one of the deepest inventories among privates. Our asset level 26 30
24 20comparison shows WildFire returns are likely lower but still attractive with improving 22
productivity and likely enhanced by synergies. Magnolia management has also 20 10
demonstrated a track-record of discipline and leading corporate returns. 18 Dec Jun Dec Jun 0
LHS: Price ($) / RHS: Volume (mm) Source: FactSet
Key Points Company Data in $
Dividend $0.63 Shares O/S (mm) 190.5Bloomberg reported that Magnolia emerged as the front-runner to acquire private
WildFire Energy for >$4Bn, with a deal possibly announced in weeks. The combination Yield 2.4% Market Cap (mm) $0
isn’t confirmed, but also wouldn't be a surprise with Magnolia and WildFire having EV (mm) $5,514 Net Debt (mm) $269
offsetting acreage positions across East Texas Eagle Ford. Reuters reported WildFire was BMO Estimates in $
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