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CMCSA: Breakup Plan - "Yes, Keep Going!"
研报英文原文证据摘录
CMCSA: Breakup Plan - "Yes, Keep Going!"
June 29, 2026
Exhibit 1 - CMCSA SOTP Valuation (Not Price Target)
Source: Company Filings, Wolfe Research, LLC. Estimates
Details are limited: (continued from pg. 1)....Comcast has frozen its buyback but will continue to pay the dividend.
Pro forma leverage and capital structures were not discussed. Comcast will retain a 19.9% stake in NBCU/Sky before
liquidating that stake post-spin, tax efficiently, in order to pay down debt.
Why is CMCSA fading intraday, up just 7%? In cable, the fundamental outlook is very difficult - some investors who
held CMCSA or CHTR in hopes of a merger may be selling today's news. And while today's plan would move the merger
ball forward, it also suggests that nothing is imminent. The details of a Comcast/Charter merger include some devils
in the areas of network architecture, very high debt, and control that may have hampered negotiations so far. In media,
after WBD got away (to Paramount), the landscape of potential partners could be just Netflix, unless Amazon or Apple
has an appetite they lacked for WBD. Disney? Yes for Universal's film, TV studios, NBC Sports, and possibly News, but
not for the parks and broadcast stations.
What might CMCSA's future parts trade for? Capitalizing Cable ex-Sky EBITDA at 5x on '27E $28.5B and considering
$79B of net debt, we see Cable equity value of $63B, or ~$17 per CMCSA share. NBCUniversal + Sky could trade at
Disney's EV/EBITDA multiple of 9x '27 EBITDA of $5.6B. Net of an estimated $6B of debt (~1x leverage), we see ~$44B
of NBCUniversal equity value, or $12 per CMCSA share. Combining Cable and NBCU and netting $1.3B of corporate
and eliminations against $5.3B of hidden value (other less NCI and Beijing), we see post-spin equity value potential of
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