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Brazilian Retailers "UBS Shopping Cart: GMAT Tax Risks; DPSP expansion;..."
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Brazilian Retailers "UBS Shopping Cart: GMAT Tax Risks; DPSP expansion;..."
Global Research
30 June 2026ab
Brazilian Retailers Equities
AmericasUBS Shopping Cart: GMAT Tax Risks; DPSP
expansion; Pharma Structural Growth; Trade Consumer, Cyclical
confidence Vinicius Strano,AnalystCFA
vinicius.strano@ubs.com
+55-11-2767 6688
Grupo Mateus receives R$1.28bn tax assessment Isabella Lamas
Analyst
GMAT announced that it has been notified of a notice of infraction issued by Brazil's isabella.lamas@ubs.com
Federal Revenue Service against its subsidiary Armazém Mateus, totaling R$1.28bn. +55-11-2767 6836
The assessment relates to the exclusion of presumed ICMS tax credits from the
Lucca Biasi
corporate income tax (IRPJ /CSLL) calculation base for fiscal years 2022 and 2023.
Associate Analyst
Of the total amount, R$492.9m corresponds to the principal, while R$789m relates lucca.biasi@ubs.com
to penalties and interest. The contingency has been classified as a possible loss. +55-11-2767 6173
Why care? In 2026, GMAT has not been provisioning income tax payments on Pedro Perone
ICMS subventions. We model net income of R$1.2bn / R$1.4bn (implying PE Associate Analyst
multiple of 7.5x/6.4x). Excluding the tax shield form ICMS subventions, our pedro.perone@ubs.com
+55-11-2767 6007 net income would be R$813m / R$998m (PE 10.8x/8.8x). All in all, in our DCF
analysis, the tax shield from ICMS subventions, which we keep in our model in
between 2027-32 correspond to 18% of our GMAT's equity value.
DPSP targets 300-500 new stores over the next 3-5 years
In an interview with Exame, Grupo DPSP CEO Marcos Colares highlights the
company's expansion plans, which include +300-500 new stores over the next three
to five years. For 2026, the company expects to open 50 new stores while
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