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Independent Refiners "We are watching Quality Discounts as Middle East..."
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Independent Refiners "We are watching Quality Discounts as Middle East..."
Global Research
28 June 2026ab
Independent Refiners Equities
North AmericaWe are watching Quality Discounts as Middle
East crude gets ready to come to market Energy
Manav Gupta
Analyst
manav.gupta@ubs.com
More Middle Eastern Crude coming to the market +1-212-713 4399
On June 22, 2026, the U.S. Department of the Treasury’s Office of Foreign Assets Saumya Jain
Control (OFAC) issued General License X (GL X), which temporarily lifts sanctions on Associate Analyst
Iranian crude oil for a strict 60-day window ending August 21, 2026. This represents a saumya.jain@ubs.com
major, unexpected geopolitical shift tied to a broader interim peace framework (the +1-212-882 0089
Islamabad Memorandum of Understanding) negotiated to de-escalate recent military Sumantra Banerjee
conflicts and secure commercial transit. Financial institutions and energy traders can Associate Analyst
participate in transactions "ordinarily incident and necessary" to the production, sumantra.banerjee@ubs.com
delivery, sale, or offloading of Iranian-origin oil and petrochemical products. Crucially, +1-212-713 5104
the waiver permits these transactions to be settled in U.S. dollar-denominated funds, Ivan Scotto
transitioning Iranian crude out of the "shadow fleet" and into the formal international Associate Analyst
banking system at standard market prices. This coupled with full reopening of Strait of ivan.scotto@ubs.com
Hormuz, would allow incremental Middle Eastern barrels to reach the global markets. +1-212-713 3137
Middle Eastern volumes have a direct correlation to quality discounts (price discounts
heavy and medium crudes realize due to lower quality, which makes them hard to
process).
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