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Moving Into Harry's Chapter With Momentum
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Moving Into Harry's Chapter With Momentum
UK | Aerospace & Defense Electronics
Babcock International EquityJuneResearch24, 2026
ESTIMATE CHANGEMoving Into Harry's Chapter With Momentum
BAB enters FY27F with good underlying momentum, and while greater RATING BUY
clarity around the UK Defence budget would clearly be helpful for sentiment PRICE 1,004.50p^
towards the stock, we are confident that FY27F expectations are not PRICE TARGET | % TO PT 1,400.00p | +39%
premised on an improved macro backdrop. We continue to view the 52W HIGH-LOW 1,527p - 935p
medium-/long-term pipeline as material and providing attractive secular FLOAT (%) | ADV MM (USD) 91.8% | 36.68
growth opportunities. No change to forecasts or PT. Buy. MARKET CAP £5.1B | $6.7B
TICKER BAB LN
Revenue expectations well covered: As of 1st April, Babcock had c70% of expected FY27F ^Prior trading day's closing price unless otherwise noted.
revenue under cover, and strong visibility on the shortfall, with it being filled by call off work
under the £2.8bn of existing framework agreements. Our view that Babcock is relatively
better positioned than others in the face of ongoing delays to the publication of the Defence FY (Mar) CHANGE TO JEFe JEF vs CONS
Investment Plan therefore stands. That said, timely release of the DIP is still important, with 2027 2028 2027 2028
management indicating that clarity in funding (alongside pan Whitehall approval) was a reason NA NA NA NA
for the FMSP contract seeing a 6-month bridging agreement rather than moving into the new EPS NM NM NM +3%
multiyear replacement contract, Gateway.
2027 (p) 1Half 2Half FY
EBITA margin progression continues: From an EBITA margin perspective, FY26 was a good
EPS -- -- 65.10
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