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Best Smidcap Ideas: Washington Policy In 2026
研报英文原文证据摘录
Best Smidcap Ideas: Washington Policy In 2026
TD Cowen
Global Research
June 24, 2026
■WRG Macro Commentary Best Smidcap Ideas: Washington Policy In
TD Cowen Washington Research THE TD COWEN INSIGHT
202 868 5300 ■Affordability focus w/ inflation risk, tariff refunds, constrained Fed & midterms/Iran shaping
washingtonpolicy@tdsecurities.com next 2 years and 2028 runway
Paul Gallant
■Federal policy now fully supports co-location
202 868 5303
paul.gallant@tdsecurities.com ■Window open over the coming quarters for small & mid-cap bank mergers
Chris Krueger ■Unprecedented hospital headwinds are ahead - relief will come - matter of when and to
202 868 5307 what extent.
christopher.krueger@tdsecurities.com
■Courts playing important roles in key TMT deals.
John Miller
202 868 5306
john.p.miller@tdsecurities.com As we did last year, we publish this note at a time when we are near the midway point in the
year. This note covers the assessment by our policy team on:
Roman Schweizer
202 868 5305 ■Macro Outlook = Affordability. Affordability remains the dominant political and market
roman.schweizer@tdsecurities.com lens, with inflation risks skewed to the upside from potential energy shocks and persistent
trade friction. Fed Chair Warsh is likely to prioritize balance sheet tightening vs. rate cuts.
Jaret Seiberg
202 868 5313 Trade policy and geopolitical tensions will drive near-term uncertainty, even as U.S.-China
jaret.seiberg@tdsecurities.com relations remain subdued through midterms. Democrats are positioned to campaign on
cost of living with a plausible House flip (but tougher Senate path), setting up a divided
Molly T. Turco
government focused on oversight, while Iran outcomes and midterm results begin shaping
202 868 5309
the 2028 field.
molly.turco@tdsecurities.com
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