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Retail and Foods Monthly (June 2026)
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Retail and Foods Monthly (June 2026)
22 June 2026
Mizuho Securities Equity Research Cross-sector Research / Retail and Foods
Industry Overview
Consumers more selective with spending as propensity to consume declines
Spotlight: See Figure 2 for the Mizuho Investment strategy
Securities Retail Diffusion Index In May, the TSE Retail Index underperformed TOPIX for the second straight
month. Partly due to the release of macro data indicating a deterioration inRetail
the consumption environment, there has been a continued shift in allocation
Senior Analyst: to AI and high-tech stocks. Consumer sentiment has been worsening
Toshio Takahashi overall, and consumers are becoming more selective with their spending
+81 3 6202 8325 and continue to spend on necessary items. We still think it is increasinglytoshio.takahashi@mizuho-sc.com important for companies to implement product strategies and flexibly adjust
selling prices to adapt to various changes.Foods
April retail trends and outlookSenior Analyst:
The Mizuho Securities Retail Diffusion Index (DI), calculated using monthlyHiroshi Saji same-store sales growth rates at 147 retail firms (excluding restaurants), was+81 3 6202 8274
+54 for April 2026, for the fourth straight month in positive territory. Seasonalhiroshi.saji@mizuho-sc.com
products did well as temperatures were high. The index was also apparently
Retail & restaurants helped by bulk buying driven by the situation in the Middle East. For May,
we believe the DI remained in positive territory as summer products seem to
Senior Analyst: have done well amid the high temperatures.
Hideya Asaeda
+81 3 6202 8598 Restaurants/food services
hideya.asaeda@mizuho-sc.com Aggregate same-store sales for the 21 restaurant chains referenced in this
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