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U.S. Wireless "2Q Wireless Preview" Hodulik
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U.S. Wireless "2Q Wireless Preview" Hodulik
Global Research
22 June 2026ab
U.S. Wireless Equities
Americas2Q Wireless Preview
Wireless Communications
John C. Hodulik, CFA
Favorable trends in wireless Analyst
We believe market activity was more subdued in 2Q as carriers pulled back on john.hodulik@ubs.com
promotional activity, focusing on churn reduction and profitability. We expect T-Mobile +1-212-713 4226
to lead the industry with 700K+ postpaid phone adds in 2Q (vs. 830K a year ago), Batya Levi
followed by AT&T with 358K adds (vs. 401K in 2Q25) and Verizon at 123K adds (vs. -9K Analyst
a year ago). Overall, we estimate the industry added 2.0M postpaid phone subscribers in batya.levi@ubs.com
2Q, moderating from 2.1M a year ago, on path to add 8.3M new phones in '26 vs. +1-212-713 8824
8.8M in '25. This is driven by flat churn (vs. +10 bps in '25) and LSD growth in gross Christopher Schoell, CPA
adds. We also expect industry ARPU declines to improve, driving 2%/1% wireless service Analyst
revenue/EBITDA growth in 2Q, in line with trend. christopher.schoell@ubs.com
+1-212-713 4912
AT&T: Continuing to drive convergence Ryan Gravett, CFA
Buy Rated, PT $31: Our estimates are largely unchanged. We expect results to Analyst
highlight continued subscriber momentum in wireless and broadband, cost ryan.gravett@ubs.com
+1-212-713 3344
control and its leading position as the largest operator of converged wireless and
fiber assets in the U.S. Albert Kim
Associate Analyst
Wireless: We expect 358K postpaid phone adds in 2Q (vs. 401K a year ago) albert.kim@ubs.com
reflecting 5% y/y growth in gross adds vs. +9% in 1Q while churn increases 4 bps +1-212-713 1079
y/y to 0.91% (vs. +6 bps in 1Q). Along with stable postpaid phone ARPU at $57/ PK Keller
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