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UNFI - Distributor De-Leveraging and a Door to Capital Return-Oriented Value Creation—We Raise Our EPS Estimates But Stay NEUTRAL-Rated
研报英文原文证据摘录
UNFI - Distributor De-Leveraging and a Door to Capital Return-Oriented Value Creation—We Raise Our EPS Estimates But Stay NEUTRAL-Rated
June 22, 2026
John Heinbockel john.heinbockel@guggenheimpartners.com UNFI - Distributor De-Leveraging and a Door to
212 381 4135 Capital Return-Oriented Value Creation—We Raise
Steven Forbes, CFA, CPA
steven.forbes@guggenheimpartners.com Our EPS Estimates But Stay NEUTRAL-Rated
212 381 4188
Julio Marquez Key Message: Although we remain NEUTRAL-rated for valuation reasons, we believe julio.marquez@guggenheimpartners.com the path to potentially meaningful capital returns, on top of high-single digit secular 212 823 6605
EBITDA growth, is drawing closer with declining borrowing costs a complementary
Jacob Nivasch benefit. The recent term loan repricing reduces annual interest expense by $3 million with
jacob.nivasch@guggenheimpartners.com further improvement likely during the next several years, especially given the presence
212 338 8837 of a sizable, lower-cost ABL facility. More importantly, the combination of FCF-funded
Max Horowitz debt reduction and EBITDA growth would lower leverage to 1.8x next summer from the
max.horowitz@guggenheimpartners.com current 2.5x, eliminating the need for further debt paydown. The ascension of share
212 518 9974 repurchases as a capital outlay would be a positive, possibly resulting in a mid-teens
TSR. ~45 percentage points of year-to-date S&P 500 outperformance and a 7.6x our
2026E EBITDA multiple—see Exhibit 1—keeps us NEUTRAL-rated.
UNFI NEUTRAL The Term Loan Repricing and Ongoing De-Leverage. The recent term loan re-pricing was
United Natural Foods, Inc. merely the latest in a multi-faceted balance sheet strengthening which began in mid-2024
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