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Starting in 10 Minutes: BMO Conference Call on Bull-Bear Debates
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Starting in 10 Minutes: BMO Conference Call on Bull-Bear Debates
June 18, 2026 | 09:50 ET~
The Travelers Companies
TRV-NYSE Rating Price: Jun-17 Target Total Rtn Insurance Property & Casualty
Outperform $306.07 $314.00 4%
Michael Zaremski Analyst
michael.zaremski@bmo.com (646) 873-5043
Jack Matten, CFA VP Associate
Starting in 10 Minutes: BMO Conference Call on Bull- jack.matten@bmo.com (212) 671-8000
Charlie Lederer, CPA VP AssociateBear Debates
charlie.lederer@bmo.com (347) 839-0835
Bottom Line: Daniel Cohen Senior Associate
We continue to rate TRV shares outperform while short interest is at a 10-year high daniel.cohen@bmo.com (646) 873-5139
and nearly two standard deviations above the long-term average. In this report, we Legal Entity: BMO Capital Markets Corp.
address the bull and bear debates currently ongoing with respect to TRV. Join our
2YR Price Volume Chart
conference call on this debate in 10 minutes. Please reply to this email or contact your 340
BMO salesperson for the zoom link. 320300
5Key Points 260 4 240
We see continued reserve release beats in TRV's commercial insurance portfolio driven 200 21
by increased conservatism, validated through higher IBNR levels and lower paid- 180 0 Dec Jun Dec Jun
incurred levels. LHS: Price ($) / RHS: Volume (mm) Source: FactSet
We see EPS upside to net investment income (given spread between new money rates Company Data in $
and existing bond yields) and buybacks as growth slows. Dividend $5.00 Shares O/S (mm) 212.6
That being said, we provide a Fair and Balanced bull/bear debate in the slide deck to Yield 1.6% Market Cap (mm) $65,083
follow.
P/BV 2.0x Book Value $150.45
Exhibit 1 - TRV Bull/Bear Matrix Summary BMO Estimates in $
Key Debate Outlook BMO Commentary
(FY-Dec.) 2025A 2026E 2027E
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