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Wells Cargo: Wetherbee's Freight Weekly
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Wells Cargo: Wetherbee's Freight Weekly
Equity Research
Industry Update — June 18, 2026
Logistics
Parcel
Rail
Trucking
Last Call...FedEx Bogeys
Our Call Christian Wetherbee
Next week FedEx will be in focus with F4Q results and C26 guidance. This transition Equity Analyst | Wells Fargo Securities, LLC
Christian.Wetherbee@wellsfargo.com | 212-214-8053
quarter presents modeling challenges as Express and Freight split and FY becomes CY. We
Robert H. Salmon, CFAthink F4Q is more important than the guide, but highlight bogeys for both.
Equity Analyst | Wells Fargo Securities, LLC
Robert.H.Salmon@wellsfargo.com | 212-214-5016
~$9-$10 FEC EPS Bogey for Stub Period - Our conversations suggest that expectations Ryan Deveikis
for F4Q EPS is in the $6.25+ range, as Express incremental margins should benefit from Associate Equity Analyst | Wells Fargo Securities, LLC
still solid volume growth, revenue quality initiatives and the resumption of Network 2.0 Ryan.Deveikis@wellsfargo.com | 212-214-8040
integration. The Jun-Dec period is more challenging to model for standalone FEC, but Matthew Hortopan
expectations appear to be in the $9-$10 EPS range. This bridges to ~$17-$18 for FEC Associate Equity Analyst | Wells Fargo Securities, LLC
C26 EPS. For C27, we believe an acceleration to ~$22 is possible. Matthew.F.Hortopan@wellsfargo.com | 212-214-5009
Positioning Skews Long, but Complexity Cools Enthusiasm - We think FedEx remains • Resetting the Value Proposition
a name many investors are constructive on and with higher than consensus/guide • FDX: F4Q26 Earnings Preview
expectations for F4Q, the bar is not necessarily low. That said, the lack of historical CY or • Wetherbee's Freight Weekly (Week 22)
standalone segment data has made modeling tougher and created a void of expectations.
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