普通外文研报
Please Remain Seated
研报英文原文证据摘录
Please Remain Seated
June 10, 2026 Please Remain Seated
Unwind May be Temporary, but We Still Expect More Turbulence
Jonathan Krinsky, CMT
WHAT YOU SHOULD KNOW: (332) 400-5152 jkrinsky@btig.comTECHNICAL There isn't much new happening today that we haven't discussed recently, but it's worth
throwing some numbers on the action. Since the SPX hit an all-time high last Tuesday
(June 2nd) of 7609, it has fallen ~4% to ~7300. Yet six sectors are green over that
span, with HC, Staples, REITs, and Fins each up 2% or more. Meanwhile, Tech is down
over 10%. This has essentially been a momentum unwind, with crowded positioning
in semis/AI being reduced while underweight areas like defensive/cyclicals are beingSTRATEGY
bought/covered. As we have stated previously, you can get positioning unwinds without
fundamental catalysts, but they usually don't last very long unless there are real
underlying changes. At this point our assumption is this is still a positioning unwind, not
a regime change, but we don't think it has fully run its course. As a result, we would
suggest you remain seated with your seat belts fastened, as we expect more near-term
turbulence.
■ Tech/Semis - Still Looking for 50 DMAs. Whether its QQQ, XLK, or SOXX, we think
tests of the rising 50 DMAs are still quite likely. The good news is that the slope of
the 50 DMAs are rising sharply, so every day that goes buy the downside becomes
less. The reaction to those tests will tell us if there needs to be a deeper correction.
■ High-Beta vs. Low-Vol is essentially the same as high vs. low momentum. Would at
least be looking for this ratio back to its 50 DMA.
■ Laggards More Room to Run. We have recently discussed the more constructive
charts for Healthcare and Financials, as well as REITs. None of those groups look
本摘录由系统从所标注的 PDF 证据页直接提取并保留英文原文,不做批量翻译;登录后在阅读器切换中文时才按需翻译。
打开研报阅读器