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Saudi Drillers Far from business as usual
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Saudi Drillers Far from business as usual
5 June 2026
Saudi Drillers EquitiesEnergy Equipment &
Services
Far from business as usual Middle East
◆ Valuations reflect medium-term rig market tightening risks Ildar Khaziev*, CFA
despite another wave of suspensions… SeniorHSBC BankEM Oilplc& Gas and Utilities Analyst
ildar.khaziev@hsbc.com
◆ …but even business-as-usual scenario remains elusive +44 20 7992 3302
Kim Fustier*
◆ Retain Reduce ratings on ADES Holding and Arabian Drilling, Senior Global Oil & Gas Analyst
HSBC Bank plc
raise TPs as we adjust valuation methodology kim.fustier@hsbc.com
+44 20 3359 2136
Samantha Hoh, CFA
Jack-up rig market outlook: still unclear. There are still few signs of jack-up rig Senior Analyst, Clean Tech
market tightening despite major oil supply disruptions – global contracted utilisation HSBC Securities (USA) Inc.
samantha.hoh@us.hsbc.com
rate has slightly weakened, even outside the GCC region, and dayrates have been +1 212 525 8783
flat to slightly weaker this year so far. It is possible that the latter is driven by the oil
sector capital allocation decisions taken in late 2025 and activity could pick up with a * Employed by a non-US affiliate of HSBC Securities (USA) Inc, and is
time lag, but we are not observing the same in the deepwater drilling sector, which not registered/ qualified pursuant to FINRA regulations.
has enjoyed stronger momentum. The jack-up rig market has rarely been sensitive to
oil price spikes in the past, but perhaps this time will be different given the scale of
the disruption. New medium-term upside risks have also emerged after the UAE’s
exit from OPEC, but these remain difficult to quantify. For now, the short term rig
requirements pipeline remains dominated by the GCC region. Yet, the region is
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