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Barrels And BTUs - Commodity Fundamentals Weekly
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Barrels And BTUs - Commodity Fundamentals Weekly
TD SECURITIES INC. - CANADA WEEKLY REPORT
June 18, 2026
■Energy Producers Barrels And BTUs - Commodity Fundamentals
Weekly
Menno Hulshof, CFA^ THE TD COWEN INSIGHT
403 299 8658
In this recurring weekly update, we summarize key valuation, fundamental supply, demand,
menno.hulshof@tdsecurities.com
storage, and pricing data for both oil and natural gas. For comparative valuation data, see
Aaron Bilkoski^ pages 3-7; for a rollup of weekly pricing data, see pages 8-9. For more detailed data, please
403 299 3294 see pages 10-21 for oil and pages 22-26 for natural gas.
aaron.bilkoski@tdsecurities.com
Aaron MacNeil, CA^ Fuel for Thought (Charts of the Week) - WCS Heavy Diffs Tighten as Stockpiles Dip
403 292 1222
U.S. crude inventories came under additional pressure this week (Figure 1), with Cushing stocksaaron.macneil@tdsecurities.com
now having posted eight consecutive weekly draws, bringing stockpiles towards operational
Dustin Besaw, CFA^ tank bottoms of ~20 mmbbl. Reduced inventories at Cushing, combined with heavy upstream
403 292 2804
turnaround activity and the potential impact of wet weather across the oil sands, have
dustin.besaw@tdsecurities.com
supported a material narrowing in the WCS Hardisty/WTI heavy differential in recent weeks
Taylor Kent^ (Figure 2). That said, with major oil sands turnarounds expected to wind down by mid-June and
403 299 3272 Enbridge heavy-line apportionment landing at ~11% in July, we see risk that differentials could
taylor.kent@tdsecurities.com re-widen over the coming weeks and months as supply returns and pipeline constraints re-
Jeremy De Souza, CPA^ emerge.
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Figure 1 - US Crude Oil Inventories
jeremy.desouza@tdsecurities.com
mmbbl 5-Year Range 5-Yr Avg 2025 2026
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