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SFR REITs: HPA Analysis – May 2026
研报英文原文证据摘录
SFR REITs: HPA Analysis – May 2026
RBC Capital Markets, LLC
Brad Heffern, CFA (Analyst)
(512) 708-6311,
brad.heffern@rbccm.com
Patrick Fox, CFA (AVP)
(512) 708-6342,
patrick.j.fox@rbccm.com
Michael Carroll, CFA (Head
June 16, 2026 of US Real Estate Research)
(440) 715-2649,
michael.carroll@rbccm.com SFR REITs: HPA Analysis – May 2026RESEARCH Our view: We update our single-family rental home price appreciation analysis to incorporate May home
price data. The vast majority of SFR focus markets saw appreciation (Las Vegas being the sole exception),
and we estimate the overall AMH and INVH portfolio values increased by 0.4% and 0.3%, respectively.
Home prices typically see steady appreciation in May, with the current month's appreciation in line with
normal seasonality. We view this result as a positive given the uncertain macro backdrop in which the
results were achieved and the rise in mortgage rates. The Midwest again saw the strongest regional
performance, while Southwest markets (Las Vegas, Phoenix, TX) saw weaker results. The portfolio
discounts for AMH/INVH decreased by 100 bps MoM, continuing to rebound off their weakest-everEQUITY levels and reflecting post-earnings strength. AMH and INVH now have implied discounts of 33%/32%,
with INVH's discount now inside AMH's for the second consecutive month.
Single-family rental companies see improvement from record discounts
• We estimate that AMH and INVH both trade at 32% discounts to their respective May portfolio values,
as the stocks continue to recover from their widest-ever levels.
• AMH’s discount is ~1% wider (33% total) when taking into account the value of the company’s
development business, based on a 1.5x multiple of book value for construction in progress.
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