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Card Issuer Trust Trends: May 2026
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Card Issuer Trust Trends: May 2026
RBC Capital Markets, LLC
Jon G. Arfstrom (Associate
Director of U.S. Research)
(646) 703-3565,
jon.arfstrom@rbccm.com
Karl Shepard, CFA (Analyst)
(612) 371-2709,
karl.shepard@rbccm.com
June 15, 2026
Card Issuer Trust Trends: May 2026RESEARCH Favorable core metrics with improving credit and solid growth.
Our view: We are reviewing monthly card data for May. Overall, credit remains on an encouraging
trajectory with stable to positive trends and continued improvement in year-over-year metrics. We
appreciate the outlook for 2026 with delinquency levels supporting stable to lower losses. In terms of
growth, May balances were higher sequentially and the year-over-year growth trends are accelerating
for some names.
May Trust and Managed Card Data Summary:EQUITY
For the top five card issuers on a trust average basis, May charge-offs were 1.96%, which increased 3
bps from the prior month and decreased 15 bps from the year ago period. Meanwhile, average 30+ day
delinquencies were 1.14%, which decreased 5 bps from the prior month and decreased 9 bps from the
year ago period.
On a managed basis, our coverage universe (AXP, BFH, COF, SYF) reported average charge-offs of 4.80%,
which decreased 13 bps from the prior month and decreased 44 bps from a year ago. Meanwhile,
average 30+ day delinquencies were 3.47%, which decreased 10 bps from the prior month and
decreased 30 bps from a year ago.
Overall, credit remains consistent with continued improvement on a year over year basis. In the near
term, we see the core credit metrics as stable with a bias lower in charge-offs. We see the delinquency
trends as providing support and visibility to the loss outlook. Despite the lingering macro uncertainty, as
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