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Storage: Demand Low But Steady; Risk/Reward Unappetizing Post Rally
研报英文原文证据摘录
Storage: Demand Low But Steady; Risk/Reward Unappetizing Post Rally
June 15, 2026 | 02:00 ET~
Self Storage REITs
Storage: Demand Low But Steady; Risk/Reward US Real Estate
Unappetizing Post Rally Juan C. Sanabria Analyst
juan.sanabria@bmo.com (312) 845-4074
John P. Kim AnalystBottom Line:
JohnP.Kim@bmo.com (212) 885-4115
1Q26 results were solid, generally beating expectations, likely setting up guidance
Robin Haneland Senior Associatebumps with 2Q26 results with steady peak leasing results through May. However,
robin.haneland@bmo.com (646) 901-2282
June scraping data suggests potential weakness with the consumer clearly pressured.
Legal Entity: BMO Capital Markets Corp.
Storage has performed well YTD (shares +15.4%, excl. NSA), outperforming the IYR
(+11.2%) with a 5.5% avg. implied cap rate. With a higher multiple but a similar growth
Real Estate Investment Trusts
profiles vs multifamily, we don't see storage as particularly compelling. CUBE remains 320
our top sub-sector pick with lower risk coastal/infill markets, strong cost controls, an 300
attractive valuation and M&A potential. 280
260 300
Key Points 240 200
220 100
Bumping Higher. Fundamentals continue to gradually improve. We've bumped our '26 200 0
SSRev/NOI forecasts vs. pre-earnings +30/+60bps to +0.9/+0.3% y/y, which is modestly LHS: Price / RHS:DecVolume (k) Jun Dec Source: FactSetJun
above the Street and guidance. We expect REITs to upgrade SSRev with 2Q26 given May
updates. Our updated '26 FFO estimates are +50bps above the Street (+60bps above
guidance). For '27 FFO we're -60bps below the Street with the pace of re-acceleration
still tepid as per move-in rate trends.
Valuation: Expensive vs Apartments. Storage trades at a -0.5x NTM FFO multiple
discount vs. overall REITs vs.
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