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AMD: Takeaways from Pre-Quiet Period Call
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AMD: Takeaways from Pre-Quiet Period Call
Semiconductors
ADVANCED MICRO DEVICES, INC. (AMD) June 15, 2026
AMD: Takeaways from Pre-Quiet Period Call Rating:
OutperformWe found management's tone to be quite constructive, and we think there is Price:
substantial room for upside to consensus for both CY26 and 27, due to a combination $511.57
of incremental CPU strength and the potential for additional GW-scale MI-450 Price Target:
$450customers. Importantly, AMD management appeared comfortable that they ordered
% Upside:
enough wafer supply to support very material growth in the server business this year (12.0)%
and next, and we got the sense that AMD's wafer allocation could support demand
well ahead of consensus as a result. Source: FactSet, Wolfe Research
Priced as of 06/12/26
With respect to the stock, while the stock has had a strong run (up 143% since the
start of April), we see a path to $25-30 earnings power ($14 base EPS driven by 1GW
each from OpenAI and META, plus $7 from agentic CPU demand and $3-4 from each
additional GW of MI-450 in excess of META / Open AI). That puts the stock under
20x that bull case EPS power, and the company does have a catalyst from their July
Chris Caso
analyst event. ccaso@wolferesearch.com
(646) 582-9360
Supply. AMD noted that supply of everything is tight. But the company is View Chris’s Research
continuing to get more wafers, and has the opportunity to shift wafers away from View AMD Model
PC / Gaming to datacenter going forward, should it be needed. AMD noted that the View Comp Table
company asked for much greater capacity from TSM over the last few years than Liz Pate
investors appreciate, with the company still feeling good about its overall supply lpate@wolferesearch.com (646) 582-9362
position in CY26/CY27.
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