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CASY: Fuel Margins Drive a Statement Q4 Beat
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CASY: Fuel Margins Drive a Statement Q4 Beat
Equity Research
Flash Comment — June 9, 2026
Convenience Stores
Casey's General Stores, Inc.
Fuel Margins Drive a Statement Q4 Beat Overweight
Price Target: $910.00
Ticker CASY
Our Call Upside/(Downside) to Target 19.6%
Broad Q4 beat against concerns of a miss highlights CASY’s unique growth story & Price (06/09/2026) $761.18
consistent ability to drive share gains. Stock was due for a breather after strong 1H’26, 52 Week Range $481.30 - 901.00
but pullback now seems overdone. Remain OW. Market Cap (MM) $28,347
Source: Company Data, Wells Fargo Securities estimates, and Factset.
Initial Thoughts NA = Not Available, NC = No Change, NE = No Estimate
Healthy Q4 Beat Across the Board: Against expects for a slight miss/more in-linish type Edward Kelly, CFA
print, CASY delivered a sizable Q4 beat incl. EPS of $4.37 or $1.14/35% higher & EBITDA Equity Analyst | Wells Fargo Securities, LLC
Edward.J.Kelly@wellsfargo.com | 212-214-5304
$46M/15% ahead. Better fuel margins were the largest driver, followed by higher fuel
prices/gallons, with Other/inside trends & margins contributing to a lesser degree. OpEx John Parke
levered nicely (65bps) despite incentive comp stepping up. '27 guide looks solid in context Associate Equity Analyst | Wells Fargo Securities, LLC John.Parke@wellsfargo.com | 212-214-3327
of the higher base & its historical ability to outperform.
Adam Gregorio
Associate Equity Analyst | Wells Fargo Securities, LLC
Fuel Margins Meaningfully Better Than Expected: 46.9cpg for fuel margins in the Adam.Gregorio@wellsfargo.com | 212-214-8117
quarter were meaningfully better than the St's 40.3cpg and our data pointing to high 30's,
helping to drive 90% of the $60M Fuel GP beat. Total gallon growth of 3.6% also beat by
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